World Economic Forum（ダボス会議） Middle Eastに参加して②

 ■WEF 中東　セッション初日

 初日の最初はKlausによる「Forum Vision」というセッションに参加しました。Alausから直接WEFの成り立ち等が説明されます。朝食を食べながらということで入りやすい雰囲気でしたので質問するチャンスがあり手を挙げました。「WEFの具体的な目標はありますか？」と質問をすると丁寧に答えてくれます。一つはどれぐらい参加する会員が増えているかというのを観ているそうです。特に離脱するキーパーソンがいないかということは重視しているとのこと。また、WEFがどれぐらいMedia等にリファーされたか、ということも重要な指標になっているということでした。

その後Klausに挨拶をし、日本のGlobisに所属しています。Yoshito Horiはご存じですか？と質問をすると、Yoshitoは知っているよ、とにこやかに回答。堀さん、さすがです。

今回のダボス中東のテーマはEconomic Growth and Job Creation in the Arab Worldです。湾岸協力会議GCC6カ国及び中東及び北アフリカ18カ国）の人口は2030年までに7億人弱となり、現在と比較して1.5倍になると予測されています。しかしながら深刻な失業率に悩まされています。特に若年層の失業率は25%を超え、地域別の比較で世界で最悪です。

若年層の失業率という問題は現在は日本も含め世界各国で大きな問題になっています。昨今の欧州危機の影響もありスペインで40%を超える若年層の失業率になっているという報道もあります。

その不満が「アラブの春」と言われる革命を引き起こしたトリガーの一つと語られています。

最初のパネルディスカッション「Arab World Update: Growth and Jobs」でもその点が議論されました。特に企業側のニーズと仕事を探す若者の間のギャップの溝は大きいようです。企業は地元社員を雇用するのではなく、中東以外からのExpats採用してしまうという問題もあり、企業側が積極的に地元の人を雇用し教育をするという文化になっていないということです。また、一方で、労働者のモチベーションも問題視され意欲をどう向上させるかという点もハイライトされています。

ちなみにどの程度のJob Creationが必要なのか。なんと8500万人の雇用機会を将来に渡って作っていく必要があるということでした。なお、GDPは中東・北アフリカ16ヶ国合計で1,745十億ドルで日本と比較すると約1/3です。成長率は07年で約6%。

それにしても、このダボス会議中東分科会にいると、中東のニュースが極めてビビットに入ってきます。例えば、カダフィが死体で見つかったというニュースが世界を駆け巡りましたが、今日のセッションではそのリビアのNational Transitional CouncilのChairmanであるMahmound Jibril氏が来ていました。この方ですが、非常に頭の良い方です。話をされるキレが素晴らしい。他のパネルの方々の意見を取り入れつつ、ご自身の意見を提示され、全体に賛同の空気を創る、素晴らしいパネルでのパフォーマンスです。

初日に話を聞いた国政トップだけでも、カタール首相、パレスチナ機構首相、パキスタン大統領、ヨルダン国王がいます。その中でもアブドゥラ二世ヨルダン国王のスピーチは心を動かされるものでした。国王の人間味が伝わってくる話し方で、一言一言が重たく届いてきます。

ヨルダンという国はイスラエルの隣に位置し、また、石油資源を持たないという弱みもあり、中東という地域の中で非常に難しい立ち位置にあります。その国をWWⅡ以降、舵取りをしてきたのが王家の人々です。ある参加者はヨルダンについてThe most stable country in the most unstable regionと言っていました。そのような評価になるのも王家の存在が大きいと思います。ヨルダンではお店等に入ると多くのところで王家の写真や絵が飾られており、国の中で尊敬と敬意を集めていることを感じさせます。

国王のスピーチでは「今アラブや世界が抱える問題は様々です。その中でも、多くの若者がJob Marketに入ってくる中、いかにして若い世代を支援できるか、という問題は非常に大きな問題です。それを解決するためにはPrivate Sectorや政府が果たすべき役割が大きいですが、その中で、また、それ以上に重要なプレイヤーは皆さんです。」というメッセージで、ズシンと響くプレゼンでした。スピーチが終わると全員が自然と立ち上がり拍手です。世界でも有数のプレゼンテーターと言えるのではないでしょうか。

その後「Designing a Digital Arabia」に参加しました。Microsoft中東VP、CiscoエマージングマーケットシニアVP、パレスチナテレコムCEO、DUテレコム（UAE）CEO、そして、MIT Meidia LabのDirectorの伊藤氏です。テーマ自体にも興味があったのですが、日本人唯一のパネラーである伊藤さんがどのようにふるまわれるのか興味があり参加しました。

中東の中でまだインターネットビジネスのEco Systemが作りきれていないこと、それを実現するためには多くのプレイヤーが効果的にふるまう必要があること等が議論されています。このセッションはモデレーターを務めたYahooのVPのAhmedのさばきが非常にうまく、5人の個性的なパネラーの意見を引き出し、また会場の意見もガンガンに取り入れてディスカッションを回していました。その中で、伊藤氏は全体感を持った意見を常に持ちながらコメントされていてパネリストとしての貢献度が非常に高かったと言えます。

伊藤さんにご挨拶に上がると「グロービスですか。堀さんは良く知ってるよ。よろしくね。」とのリアクション。堀さんネットワークの広さを感じます。

セッションは複数同時進行で行われている時間帯もあり選ぶのがつらくなります。その後は「ソーシャルメディアの役割」というセッションに出ました。ここではやはりアラブの春におけるソーシャルメディアの役割が生々しく話されていました。エジプトの革命の中でTwitterやFacebookを使って革命を先導したチームは誰誰で。。。なんて感じです。

一方でTwitterやFacebookを使っているのは革命を起こした国民のうちのわずかな人たちで、それですべてを語ってはいけないという冷静な意見も。ツールと認識して適切に活用すべきということを言っています。ただ、パワーシフトが起きていることはたしかで、その活用の仕方次第だと。

隙があったので、どのように事業として儲けるのか、という点を質問をしましたが、中東のアントレプレナーもトライしながら模索しているということでした。ソーシャルメディアは生まれたばかりで使いこなすのは我々次第、使いながら進化させましょう！というパネラーの言葉にうなずく人が多かったです。

初日を終え感じることは、この場にいることは非常に歴史的な瞬間に立ち会っているのだという感覚を持っているということです。「アラブの春」のまさに当事者たちが集い、これからの国作り、社会作りが議論されています。歴史が動いている感覚を持てる場に来れたことは得難い経験です。

その後、夜は「Jordanian Party」です。Well Organizedされていて素晴らしい雰囲気でした。ヨルダン名物の水煙草を隣に座ったヨルダン人から勧められ吸うことに。普段たばこを吸わないので味は良くわかりませんでしたがいい気分にはなりました。

（Twitterに加筆・修正）

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